tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7673758362916429937.post3663826913152891046..comments2024-03-22T20:18:45.865+11:00Comments on Jack Lacton: Climate models and why they don't workJack Lactonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07297939283546740918noreply@blogger.comBlogger15125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7673758362916429937.post-75132045564195680602015-07-01T02:03:29.115+10:002015-07-01T02:03:29.115+10:00Occasionally, Siri wouldn't be able to find th...Occasionally, Siri wouldn't be able to find the lights, and I'd have to wait a moment before trying again. If you have an Apple TV, Siri can even control these products when you’re outside the home, but for some reason, it worked far more reliably when I was on Wi-Fi. It wasn't until today that I managed to successfully control my home over a cellular connection.best iphone 6 covershttp://www.iphoneprotectivecases.com/best-iphone6-and-6plus-casesnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7673758362916429937.post-35748124516940049462009-02-10T07:28:00.000+11:002009-02-10T07:28:00.000+11:00Fudgie,I am not surprised that you know nothing ab...Fudgie,<BR/><BR/>I am not surprised that you know nothing about statistics and how important they are to the development of models.<BR/><BR/>If you did then you wouldn't be a Climate Fascist.Jack Lactonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07297939283546740918noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7673758362916429937.post-81933380270069338502009-02-10T05:56:00.000+11:002009-02-10T05:56:00.000+11:00Fucky,You know nothing, nothing, about the role th...Fucky,<BR/><BR/>You know nothing, nothing, about the role that statistics play in climate models. If you did, you'd know that only a complete vegetable could think that it's "a statistical impossibility for them to have any predictive power".Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7673758362916429937.post-69766017485681359462009-02-09T13:34:00.000+11:002009-02-09T13:34:00.000+11:00Fudgie,You know nothing, nothing, about how models...Fudgie,<BR/><BR/>You know nothing, nothing, about how models are developed otherwise you would describe the important role that statistics play in their development and ongoing tracking.<BR/><BR/>And who do I talk to in order to get the 2008 Fudgie back? The 2009 one seems to have a different ISP.Jack Lactonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07297939283546740918noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7673758362916429937.post-42758029416146059142009-02-09T08:48:00.000+11:002009-02-09T08:48:00.000+11:00"No one is denying there's physics in climate mode..."No one is denying there's physics in climate models"<BR/><BR/>"statistical impossibility for them to have any predictive power"<BR/><BR/>You realise these statements are mutually exclusive? Clearly out of physics and statistics you understand the meaning of at most one of them.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7673758362916429937.post-28313810695001844952009-02-09T08:01:00.000+11:002009-02-09T08:01:00.000+11:00No one is denying there's physics in climate model...No one is denying there's physics in climate models. That's like asking whether there's money in financial models.<BR/><BR/>I don't think you understand models at all.<BR/><BR/>If so then you'd tell us what role stats play.<BR/><BR/>The fact you cannot, or will not, is quite revealing.<BR/><BR/>PS - have you spoken to your bosses yet? Can I have my 2008 Fudgie back instead of you?Jack Lactonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07297939283546740918noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7673758362916429937.post-74502794972984506272009-02-09T03:26:00.000+11:002009-02-09T03:26:00.000+11:00Answer the simple question. Is there physics in c...Answer the simple question. Is there physics in climate models, or is there not?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7673758362916429937.post-52184715987359820262009-02-08T21:36:00.000+11:002009-02-08T21:36:00.000+11:00Fudgie,I have to conclude that you don't know the ...Fudgie,<BR/><BR/>I have to conclude that you don't know the role statistics play in the development of any mathematical model.<BR/><BR/>Thus, you are completely ignorant of the reason why climate models cannot possibly have any predictive power.Jack Lactonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07297939283546740918noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7673758362916429937.post-38415214679448766362009-02-08T20:47:00.000+11:002009-02-08T20:47:00.000+11:00I'm not the one who needs to explain anything. Yo...I'm not the one who needs to explain anything. You said that there was "a statistical impossibility for them to have any predictive power". To believe this, you have to believe that there is not a single piece of physics in the models. Do you believe that?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7673758362916429937.post-79421888545706931812009-02-08T12:32:00.000+11:002009-02-08T12:32:00.000+11:00Fudgieeeee,You don't actually understand how a mod...Fudgieeeee,<BR/><BR/>You don't actually understand how a model is created, do you?<BR/><BR/>We'll start with something simple that I hope you can answer.<BR/><BR/>What role do statistics play in the development of any model (doesn't have to be climate science)?Jack Lactonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07297939283546740918noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7673758362916429937.post-73504817995886386402009-02-08T11:10:00.000+11:002009-02-08T11:10:00.000+11:00No, that's what you've demonstrated - not just her...No, that's what you've demonstrated - not just here but every time you've opened your mouth. You haven't got the remotest idea about how climate models work.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7673758362916429937.post-83845749362764806412009-02-07T08:02:00.000+11:002009-02-07T08:02:00.000+11:00Fudgie,You have just demonstrated that you have no...Fudgie,<BR/><BR/>You have just demonstrated that you have no idea how these models work.<BR/><BR/>I'm a bit surprised, actually.<BR/><BR/>Statistics are used to verify methodologies.<BR/><BR/>Can you talk to your masters and get me back my 2008 Fudgie?<BR/><BR/>The 2009 one is a bit dim.Jack Lactonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07297939283546740918noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7673758362916429937.post-25395226555715625292009-02-07T01:25:00.000+11:002009-02-07T01:25:00.000+11:00"That's because they're all back-fitted, of course..."That's because they're all back-fitted, of course, which makes it a statistical impossibility for them to have any predictive power."<BR/><BR/>Pure bullshit. Climate models are based on physics, not statistics, but sadly you have no understanding at all of either.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7673758362916429937.post-26792667203603413442009-02-06T22:03:00.000+11:002009-02-06T22:03:00.000+11:00He hasn't described what his understanding of back...He hasn't described what his understanding of backfitting is, which I asked him a few days ago. It'll be interesting to see how he describes the use of statistics at different stages of a model's development.<BR/><BR/>Perhaps he's gone away to actually look it up and worked out he's got the wrong end of the scientific stick.Jack Lactonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07297939283546740918noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7673758362916429937.post-67742229144694761932009-02-06T20:18:00.000+11:002009-02-06T20:18:00.000+11:00You are going to drive Fudgie - who does not under...You are going to drive Fudgie - who does not understand (and cannot describe) the Scientific Method - absolutely batshit!Kaboomhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05678065310675687503noreply@blogger.com