Monday, 1 October 2007

William Dalrymple studies - but does not understand - Islam

There's one thing you can say about William Dalrymple without fear of contradiction - his intellectual dishonesty means that he fits right in at The Guardian, as demonstrated by this drivel Democracy, not terror, is the engine of political Islam.

Now, you'd think that someone who has spent as much of his life as Dalrymple has trying to understand Islam would be able to write somewhat cogently on the topic. Unfortunately, he prefers to view Islam, and the Middle East, through the juvenile left's prism that all problems are caused by the West.
Six years after 9/11, throughout the Muslim world political Islam is on the march; the surprise is that its rise is happening democratically - not through the bomb, but the ballot box. Democracy is not the antidote to the Islamists the neocons once fondly believed it would be. Since the US invaded Afghanistan and Iraq, there has been a consistent response from voters wherever Muslims have had the right to vote. In Lebanon, Iran, Iraq, Palestine, Pakistan, Egypt, Turkey and Algeria they have voted en masse for religious parties in a way they have never done before. Where governments have been most closely linked to the US, political Islam's rise has been most marked.
Let's see. How many of those countries have secular parties that are at all relevant? Lebanon? Nope. Iran? People there can vote for various figures all from the same rabidly religious party. Iraq? Was there another option for voters other than Sunni, Shiite or Kurdish parties? Palestine? The choice was between a corrupt, murderous regime in power and the Islamist, corrupt and murderous party that it voted in. Pakistan? Last time I checked the army ran the place regardless of who was voted in. Egypt? There is certainly an increase in support for the Muslim Brotherhood due to Mubarak's thuggish regime and perceived 'closeness' to the US. Turkey? Islamist candidates received more votes so that's probably a legitimate selection. Algeria? It's a former French colony that has been fighting Islamists for decades. I haven't seen any rise in support for them there.

Much western journalism in the six years since 9/11 has concentrated on terrorist groups, jihadis and suicide bombers. But while the threat of violence remains very real, those commentators who have compared what they ignorantly call "Islamofascism" to the Nazis are guilty of hysteria: the differences in relative power and military capability are too great for the comparison to be valid, and the analogies that the neocons draw with the second world war are demonstrably false. As long as the west interferes in the Muslim world, bombs will go off; and as long as Britain lines up behind George Bush's illegal wars, British innocents will die in jihadi atrocities. But that does not mean we are about to be invaded, nor is Europe about to be demographically swamped, as North American commentators such as Mark Steyn claim: Muslims will make up no more than 10% of the European population by 2020.
Islamofascism is exactly the right term for it. The comparison to Nazi ideology is also fundamentally sound. It's a non sequitur to suggest that the two are incomparable because only one had a strong military and relative power. You might as well say that they're incomparable because one was European and the other not. Or that one spoke English and the other Arabic.

"As long as the west interferes in the Muslim world, bombs will go off..." Why are there no bombings caused by the interference of the West in Africa, South America or Asia (Muslim activities aside)? Clearly, it's because targeting innocent men, women and children is Islam's method of achieving its fundamental aim - expansion. Blaming the West simply provides a convenient cover story and helps take focus off incompetent and corrupt local administrations. What's also disturbing is Dalrymple's apparent acceptance that having bombs go off is a legitimate response.

Dalrymple further misses the mark when he states that only 10% of Europe will be Muslim by 2020. It is more likely to be 20-25% in France, Germany and the UK according to demographers and, of course, they're going to be in the 15-30 age bracket and make up a huge percentage of voters.
Yet in concentrating on the violent jihadi fringe, we may have missed the main story. For if the imminent Islamist takeover of western Europe is a myth, the same cannot be said for the Islamic world. Clumsy and brutal US policies in the Middle East have generated revolutionary changes, radicalising even the most moderate opinion, with the result that the status quo in place since the 1950s has been broken.

Egypt is typical: at the last election in 2005 members of the nominally banned Muslim Brotherhood, standing as independents, saw their representation rise from 17 seats to 88 in the 444-seat people's assembly - a five-fold increase, despite reports of vote-rigging by President Mubarak's ruling National Democratic Alliance. The Brothers, who have long abjured violence, are now the main opposition.
Either Dalrymple is being deliberately dishonest or he is a dupe of the Muslim Brotherhood to make that statement.
The figures in Pakistan are strikingly similar. Traditionally, the religious parties there have won only a fraction of the vote. That began to change after the US invasion of Afghanistan. In October 2002 a rightwing alliance of religious parties - the Muttahida Majlis Amal or MMA - won 11.6% of the vote, more than doubling its share, and sweeping the polls in the two provinces bordering Afghanistan - Baluchistan and the North West Frontier Province - where it formed ultra-conservative and pro-Islamist provincial governments. If the last election turned the MMA into a serious electoral force, there are now fears that it could yet be the principle beneficiary of the current standoff in Pakistan.

The Bush administration proclaimed in 2004 that the promotion of democracy in the Middle East would be a major foreign policy theme in its second term. It has been widely perceived, not least in Washington, that this policy has failed. Yet in many ways US foreign policy has succeeded in turning Muslim opinion against the corrupt monarchies and decaying nationalist parties who have ruled the region for 50 years. The irony is that rather than turning to liberal secular parties, as the neocons assumed, Muslims have lined up behind parties most clearly seen to stand up against aggressive US intervention.

Religious parties, in other words, have come to power for reasons largely unconnected to religion. As clear and unambiguous opponents of US policy in the Middle East - in a way that, say, Musharraf, Mubarak and Mahmoud Abbas are not - religious parties have benefited from legitimate Muslim anger: anger at the thousands of lives lost in Afghanistan and Iraq; at the blind eye the US turns to Israel's nuclear arsenal and colonisation of the West Bank; at the horrors of Abu Ghraib and the incarceration of thousands of Muslims without trial in the licensed network of torture centres that the US operates across the globe; and at the Islamophobic rhetoric that still flows from Bush and his circle in Washington.

Moreover, the religious parties tend to be seen by the poor, rightly or wrongly, as representing justice, integrity and equitable distribution of resources. Hence the strong showing, for example, of Hamas against the blatantly corrupt Fatah in the 2006 elections in Palestine. Equally, the dramatic rise of Hizbullah in Lebanon has not been because of a sudden fondness for sharia law, but because of the status of Hassan Nasrallah, Hizbullah's leader, as the man who gave the Israelis a bloody nose, and who provides medical and social services for the people of South Lebanon, just as Hamas does in Gaza.
Whenever a party stands on a platform of "representing justice, integrity and equitable distribution of resources" - socialism - you know that the real agenda is to win power and remove the wealth from the people. Every time a coconut. They destroy the environment, too.
The usual US response has been to retreat from its push for democracy when the "wrong" parties win. This was the case not just with the electoral victory of Hamas, but also in Egypt: since the Brothers' strong showing in the elections, the US has stopped pressing Mubarak to make democratic reforms, and many of the Brothers' leading activists and business backers, as well as Mubarak's opponent in the presidential election, are in prison, all without a word of censure from Washington.

Yet on a recent visit to Egypt I found everywhere a strong feeling that political Islam was there to stay, and that this was something everyone was going to have to learn to live with; the US response had become almost irrelevant. Even the Copts were making overtures to the Brothers. As Youssef Sidhom, who edits the leading Coptic newspaper, put it: "They are not going away. We need to enter into dialogue, to clarify their policies, and end mutual mistrust."
Entering into dialogue with Islamists tends to end with the side wishing to have dialogue being planted six feet underground.
The reality is that, like the Copts, we are going to have to find some modus vivendi with political Islam. Pretending that the Islamists do not exist, and that we will not talk to them, is no answer. Only by opening dialogue are we likely to find those with whom we can work, and to begin to repair the damage that self-defeating Anglo-American policies have done to the region, and to western influence there, since 9/11.
What is really quite shocking is Dalrymple's failure to understand democracy and what the US, and others, are trying to achieve. Democracy is not achieved simply through having an election. Hitler was elected. So was Chile's insane Allende. As was Chavez, who is now in the process of sending Venezuela's economy down the toilet. If oil prices drop back to $40, which is double what they were about 10 years ago, then that country will be completely ruined in a not dissimilar way to Zimbabwe. For that matter, Mugabe was elected and has been rigging the polls ever since. Now that Hamas has been elected who wants to bet that they'll support a full and free election next time around?

Democracy has a number of pillars of which free elections are just one. The others include free speech, a free press and a free judiciary.

Being a man of the Guardian Left it comes as no surprise that Dalrymple fails to appreciate what democracy really means or be able to accept that real evil exists in the world in the form of Islamofascism.

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